Multipolar World, National Self-Interest, & The Erosion of Globalism
November 6, 2024โข476 words
"Another longstanding foreign policy flaw is the degree to which special interests dictate the way in which the "national interest" as a whole is defined and pursued.... America's important historic relationship with Israel has often led foreign policy decision-makers to defer reflexively to Israeli security assessments, and to replicate Israeli tactics, which, as the war in Lebanon last summer demonstrated, can turn out to be counter-productive." ~ Samantha Power
The erosion of globalism, once hailed as a light of peace and prosperity, is clearly seen as a fractured globe with one superpower instigating, multiple mini wars and proxy wars, and destabilizing governments for its own self-interest.
The once-promising vision of interconnected economies, shared interests, and international cooperation is challenged by a revival of nationalism, economic decoupling, and geopolitical Nation-state military rivalries.
Nationalist leaders, many that are populist, prioritizing self-interest over global solidarity, are morphing or deforming the world order.
The rise of regional blocs and alliances reflects a growing need for self-reliance and protectionism, undermining the foundations of global institutions such as the United Nations, or the International Monetary Fund.
Economic interdependence, once seen as a deterrent to conflict, is being replaced by a focus on economic self-sufficiency, leading to trade wars, supply chain disruptions, competing political and economic blocs such as the BRICS and G7.
The weakening of globalism has created a power vacuum, where nations feel emboldened to act unilaterally, disregarding international norms, laws, and agreements.
The tech "arms race" and the most advanced artificial general intelligence killing machines, and ideological differences between democracies and one party nation-states further increases tensions, creating a world divided by competing visions of spheres of sociopolitical and economic influence, and further development of their own national interests.
The 2020 pandemic exposed vulnerabilities in global supply chains and healthcare systems, pushing nations to designate domestic production and self-reliance.
The widening gap between wealthy and developing nations has fuelled resentment and disappointment with globalism, leading to nationalistic policies and a decline in international cooperation. Due to Neo-colonialism or Neo-imperialistic political and economic policies to extract natural resources at low cost with massive environmental damage without assisting the development of the four economic sectors in the developing country, most of these indigenous peoples have a mistrust in such imperialistic endeavors in their country.
The internet is becoming fragmented as many nations have firewalls and surveillance placed upon their own citizens and anyone else outside of their nation-state. There are stricter digital sovereignty laws, creating isolated digital islands that mirror geopolitical divisions.
Climate change and resource scarcity are intensifying geopolitical tensions and undermining global unity.
The future world order has become more geopolitical nationalistic alliance based, selective international cooperation, and a decline in the influence of traditional global institutions.
In turn, this growth of national self-interest and a multipolar world will lead to more competition, more proxy wars, and regional wars.