CSIS - Foreign Interference Coming
November 14, 2025โข347 words
A renewed interest in sovereignty is never the result of a single spark; rather, it is the result of a gradual buildup of grievances, identities, and aspirations that are waiting for the ideal opportunity to ignite. Discontent in Alberta is rooted in resource politics and economic pride. Sensing an opportunity, political elites blame federal energy and environmental policies for stifling provincial autonomy. New laws that empower citizen initiatives have given these resentments a tool to fight back.
The defence of culture, language, and a unique identity that has always considered itself apart from the Canadian core is the driving force behind Quebec's motivations. Sovereignty fluctuates there in response to the emotional tides of election campaigns, the charisma of leaders, and Ottawa's apparent regard or lack thereof.
Everything in both provinces is made worse by the same modern forces, including polarization that transforms policy disagreements into existential conflicts and populist leaders who understand that nothing mobilizes people like a well-crafted enemy. Technology is the unseen force behind all of this, acting as the architect of momentum. Stories are accelerated, reality is distorted, and domestic and foreign actors can sway public opinion faster than institutions can respond thanks to social media, targeted ads, and closed digital networks.
There might be too many strong nations fighting for territory in Canada's Great White North. Under the Trump Administration, the United States of America wants to acquire parts of Canada, like Alberta and Quebec, and eventually the rest of Canada will fall into their hands to form the 51st or several States of America, making the United States the world's largest nation with the most raw materials. China and Russia are also considering the prospect of extracting mineral wealth from the Canadian North.
A constitutional crisis in Canada within the next 5 years is conceivable based on all indicating models. Investors may flee in droves if any province or territory secedes from the Canadian confederation, and the most independent regions of the nation are more likely to secede to join the US as a result of political and economic suffering.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/politics/csis-referndums-foreign-interference-9.6977513