Proxy War Of Attrition - The Geopolitical Trap Behind the Ukraine–Russia War
February 27, 2026•268 words
We’ve been told a simple story about the war in Ukraine, a clear battle between democracy and aggression, where diplomacy was never really possible because Moscow wouldn’t talk. But the reality maybe very different.
In the early days after the February 2022 invasion, President Zelensky openly mentioned neutrality as something Ukraine was willing to discuss. Talks began quickly, and in Istanbul there were reports that both sides were exploring serious compromises.
But the war didn’t end, instead, it hardened
Some observers argue that Western governments, particularly in Washington and London, saw a broader opportunity in the conflict. Statements from leaders in the United States and the United Kingdom focused not just on defending Ukraine, but on weakening Russia. Over time, the strategy became one of endurance, support Ukraine militarily, isolate Russia economically, and let the pressure build until Russia becomes a failed state politically, economically, and socially.
Whether one sees that as necessary deterrence or geopolitical opportunism depends on perspective. What’s undeniable is the cost. Ukraine has paid an enormous price in 30+ million lives, infrastructure, and stability. A war that might have ended in weeks has stretched into 4 years.
If there was even a narrow window for peace early on, why didn’t it hold? Was it unrealistic from USA and UK, or did larger strategic goals overtake it? As the conflict drags on, the gap between public rhetoric and geopolitical strategy feels harder to ignore.